The Four Scenarios Shaping Insurance 2040 by SAS and The Economist
Beyond Tech Frontiers
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Sabine VanderLinden
PodcastAI
PodcastAI

The Four Scenarios Shaping Insurance 2040 by SAS and The Economist

E51 • Jul 4, 2025 • 9 mins

In this episode, we explore the future scenarios of the insurance industry amid digital transformation and global trends. The discussion begins with an overview of the industry's evolving landscape, highlighting key variables shaping its trajectory. We delve into four potential scenarios: adaptation in a fragmented world, customer-centered transformation, climate resilience, and polycrisis adaptation. Each scenario presents distinct challenges and opportunities, emphasizing the need for strategic flexibility. The episode concludes with insights on preparing for multiple potential futures, offering guidance on navigating uncertainty in the insurance sector.

Key Points

  • Rapid technological advances, shifting global dynamics, and escalating climate challenges will shape the future of the insurance industry by 2040.
  • In a fragmented world, insurance becomes a luxury with hyper-regionalized markets, leading to large disparities in pricing and coverage.
  • A cooperative future could see insurers transforming into proactive risk preventers, leveraging digital hubs to deliver personalized services and narrowing the insurance protection gap.
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